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Naturalized Citizens To Sway Election Results

According to a recent poll by the National Partnership for New Americans (NPNA), naturalized citizens are showing strong voting intentions this year, with 97.3% in swing states and California indicating a likelihood to vote in the upcoming November elections. A robust 75.5% confirmed they definitely will participate. Historically, naturalized citizens have shown high voter turnout, with the general voting age population turnout reaching a peak of 66% in 2020, as reported by the Pew Research Center. The NPNA poll echoes these figures, noting an 86.8% turnout among its respondents in 2020.

The poll suggests naturalized citizens could significantly impact the election, especially given their growing numbers and high engagement levels. Currently, there are nearly 25 million naturalized citizens in the U.S., with over 3.5 million having naturalized since the last presidential election. Nicole Melaku, the executive director of NPNA, highlighted the critical role these new voters could play, particularly in key states, due to their diligent attention to the electoral process and strong commitment to voting.

The survey also revealed diverse political leanings among naturalized citizens, with a general tilt toward the Democratic Party. Specifically, 29.6% identified as strong Democrats, and 17.9% as strong Republicans, with the rest scattered among other designations or independents. Notably, the political preferences varied significantly by state, reflecting differing regional sentiments toward the candidates.

Policy issues such as immigration reform and economic concerns like inflation and cost of living are pivotal to these voters, aligning with national concerns yet demonstrating unique perspectives that could influence local and national elections. The survey, conducted by the U.S. Immigration Policy Center at the University of California San Diego, underscores the potential of naturalized citizens to shape electoral outcomes in the U.S. significantly.